Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team's player records the highest individual run total in the cricket match between Royal Challengers Bangalore and Kolkata Knight Riders scheduled for 2026-05-13 in Indian Premier League. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Royal Challengers Bangalore will be considered correct if the highest individual score in the match is recorded exclusively by a player from Royal Challengers Bangalore.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ROY | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Draw | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| KOL | 49% YES | 52% NO |
Royal Challengers Bangalore and Kolkata Knight Riders will contest an IPL match on 13 May 2026, with this market settling on which team's batter records the highest individual score. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 49% implied probability for RCB's top batter, suggesting near-parity between the two franchises' batting depth and form heading into the fixture.
Historically, both teams have produced consistent match-winning individual performances. RCB's batting lineup has regularly featured players capable of dominant innings—the franchise has relied on explosive top-order batting across recent IPL seasons. KKR, conversely, has built strength through balanced batting units with multiple capable scorers rather than dependence on single standout performances. The 49% probability reflects this structural difference: RCB's volatility in individual brilliance versus KKR's more distributed scoring patterns create near-equivalent probabilities for either team's top batter to lead the match.
Traders should monitor team composition announcements and injury updates in the weeks preceding 13 May, particularly regarding key batting personnel for both sides. Recent IPL form, particularly strike-rate trends and recent individual scores from both franchises' opening batters, will inform probability shifts. Venue conditions at the scheduled ground matter significantly—ground dimensions and pitch reports typically emerge 48 hours before match day and can shift expectations around boundary-hitting potential. The settlement window closes 20 May, allowing time for ESPN Cricinfo's official statistics to be finalised following any potential rain interruptions or administrative delays.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Kolkata Knight Riders - Team Top Batter" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $43 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 20 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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