Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the cricket match between Delhi Capitals and Kolkata Knight Riders scheduled for May 8 2026 in Indian Premier League. This market resolves according to the finalized match result as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. DLS/DRS, over-rate penalties, forfeit/walkover, or any other on-field ruling that leads the competition to declare a winner are treated as ordinary wins. If the match ends tied and the playing conditions provide an on-field tiebreak (e.g., Super Over), the winner determined by that tiebreak will be used for resolution.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders - Who wins the toss? | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders - Completed match? | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Delhi Capitals will face Kolkata Knight Riders on 8 May 2026 in the Indian Premier League, with the match result to be settled according to ESPN Cricinfo's official publication. The current order book on Polymarket prices Delhi Capitals at 18 per cent implied probability, suggesting the market favours Kolkata as the likely winner. This pricing reflects pre-match assessment of squad composition, recent form, and venue conditions at the scheduled ground.
Historically, Delhi Capitals and Kolkata Knight Riders have maintained relatively balanced head-to-head records in IPL competition, though Kolkata has shown stronger consistency in recent seasons. The 18 per cent probability for Delhi reflects their status as underdogs rather than an extreme outlier—comparable matches between mid-table franchises typically settle in the 35–45 per cent range for the weaker side. Current squad depth, injury status, and recent tournament performance will be primary determinants of whether this probability drifts materially before the settlement window closes on 15 May.
Key catalysts for traders include official team announcements regarding player availability and any late-stage injuries in the fortnight preceding the match. Venue-specific factors—pitch reports and weather forecasts released closer to match day—often trigger significant probability shifts in IPL markets. Recent IPL form data and head-to-head records published by cricket analytics platforms will provide traders with updated context for assessing whether the current 18 per cent pricing adequately reflects Delhi's actual winning chances.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Kolkata Knight Riders" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1.6M in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 2% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $1.6M in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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