Trade: Atlético Nacional vs. Internacional de Bogotá - More Markets
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Colombia Primera A game, scheduled for May 12 at 7:20 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $71K
- Total Volume
- $977
- 24h Volume
- $632
- Open Interest
- $907
Market outcomes
| Atlético Nacional (-1.5) | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Internacional de Bogotá (-1.5) | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Atlético Nacional (-2.5) | 21% YES | 80% NO |
| Internacional de Bogotá (-2.5) | 6% YES | 94% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 95% YES | 6% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 78% YES | 22% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 54% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 31% YES | 69% NO |
Market context
Atlético Nacional and Internacional de Bogotá are scheduled to meet on 12 May 2026 in a Colombia Primera A fixture, with the match commencing at 7:20 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 44% implied probability for the "More Markets" outcome, indicating moderate conviction amongst traders that additional markets will be offered for this fixture. This probability has formed through real-time trading activity on the platform's order book, where participants are pricing in the likelihood of expanded market coverage beyond the primary match-result contracts.
Historically, Polymarket's decision to list supplementary markets for Colombian football fixtures has depended on trading volume thresholds and regional interest. Atlético Nacional, as one of Colombia's most successful clubs with a substantial international following, typically attracts sufficient liquidity to justify extended market offerings. Internacional de Bogotá, whilst based in the capital, commands a smaller but dedicated supporter base. The 44% probability suggests traders perceive moderate-to-low confidence that additional markets will materialise, potentially reflecting uncertainty about whether this particular matchup meets Polymarket's volume or engagement criteria.
Key catalysts include the fixture's proximity to the settlement date and any announcements from Polymarket regarding market expansion for Colombian league fixtures. Traders should monitor whether either club experiences significant injury news or managerial changes in the weeks preceding the match, as such developments could influence platform operators' decisions to expand market offerings. The settlement window closes on 12 May at 23:20 UTC, providing a defined timeframe for market creation decisions.
Wikipedia Context
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Atlético NacionalClub Atlético Nacional, best known as Atlético Nacional, or simply Nacional, is a Colombian professional football club based in Medellín. The club is one of only three clubs to have played in every first division tournament in the country's history, the other two being Millonarios and Santa Fe.
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Atlético Nacional–Millonarios F.C. rivalry
The Atlético Nacional–Millonarios rivalry is a major rivalry involving Millonarios from Bogotá and Atlético Nacional from Medellín, the two most successful and two of the most popular clubs in Colombian football. Dubbed by Colombian media as well as CONMEBOL as one of the most important clásicos or a "superclásico" of Colombian football, this rivalry is also
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Atlético Nacional (women)Atlético Nacional Femenino is a professional women's football club based in Medellín, Colombia. They are the women's football section of Atlético Nacional and they currently play in the Colombian Women's Football League, the top level women's football league in Colombia.
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Atlético Nacional in international tournaments
Atlético Nacional is a professional Colombian football team based in Medellín. Considered to be one of the strongest clubs from Colombia, it is one of the most consistent clubs in the country. Atlético Nacional was founded in 1947 by Julio Ortiz, Jorge Osorio Cadavid, Jorge Gómez, Arturo Torres, Gilberto Molina, Alberto Eastman, Raúl Zapata Lotero and Luis A
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://dimayor.com.co/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Atlético Nacional vs. Internacional de Bogotá - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$977 in lifetime turnover and $71K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $632 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://dimayor.com.co/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Atlético Nacional vs. Internacional de Bogotá - More Markets"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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