Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the UEFA Europa Conference League game, scheduled for May 7 at 3:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-1.5) | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Crystal Palace FC (-2.5) | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 79% YES | 22% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 45% YES | 56% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 19% YES | 81% NO |
| Both Teams to Score | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Crystal Palace FC (-1.5) | 15% YES | 85% NO |
| FK Shakhtar Donetsk (-2.5) | 1% YES | 99% NO |
Crystal Palace and FK Shakhtar Donetsk are scheduled to meet in the UEFA Europa Conference League on 7 May 2026. The market implies an 8% probability for "more markets" — typically meaning additional betting markets or match props — to be offered by the settlement date. This reflects the relatively low likelihood that a broadcaster or betting operator will expand the market offering beyond standard match outcomes and basic accumulators.
Historical precedent suggests that secondary European fixtures, particularly those involving clubs outside the Premier League's commercial orbit, receive limited market expansion. Shakhtar's ongoing displacement from Ukraine and the resulting fixture uncertainty have historically constrained betting liquidity compared to established continental competitions. Palace's mid-table status in the Premier League, whilst stable, does not command the same market depth as top-six sides. Comparable Conference League matches between similar-profile clubs have typically settled with core markets only, absent exceptional circumstances like a major upset or unexpected commercial partnership.
The key catalyst remains the fixture confirmation and broadcast arrangements. Shakhtar's domestic and European schedule remains subject to geopolitical constraints affecting travel and stadium availability. Any announcement of a televised broadcast on a major sportsbook platform — particularly Sky Sports or BetVictor in the UK market — would materially increase the probability of expanded markets. The settlement window closes on 7 May at 19:00 UTC, giving operators roughly two weeks from mid-April to confirm additional markets. Traders should monitor official UEFA fixture lists and Shakhtar's official communications for scheduling updates.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.uefa.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Crystal Palace FC vs. FK Shakhtar Donetsk - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$237K in lifetime turnover and $808K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $231K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.uefa.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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