Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Chile Primera game, scheduled for May 17 at 8:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CD Concepción (-1.5) | 27% YES | 74% NO |
| Everton de Viña del Mar (-1.5) | 20% YES | 80% NO |
| CD Concepción (-2.5) | 17% YES | 84% NO |
| Everton de Viña del Mar (-2.5) | 16% YES | 84% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 69% YES | 32% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 23% YES | 77% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 23% YES | 77% NO |
CD Concepción will face Everton de Viña del Mar in Chile's Primera División on 17 May at 8:00 PM ET. The market is pricing a 28% probability for the "More Markets" outcome, reflecting current order book depth on Polymarket. This settlement window closes at midnight UTC on 18 May, giving traders a narrow window to react to match developments and any late-breaking squad or fixture information.
Concepción and Everton occupy mid-table positions in the Chilean league, with neither club commanding consistent dominance in head-to-head records. Historically, matches between these sides have produced mixed results, making the outcome sensitive to form, injuries, and home advantage. Everton plays from Viña del Mar, whilst Concepción hosts at their home ground. Recent Primera División seasons have shown that mid-table fixtures often trade with compressed probabilities, as both sides carry similar quality profiles. The 28% probability on Polymarket reflects this competitive equilibrium, though order book liquidity will tighten as match day approaches.
Traders should monitor team news releases and official league announcements through 17 May, particularly regarding player availability and any fixture postponements. Chilean media outlets and the ANFP (Asociación Nacional de Fútbol Profesional) typically confirm final squad sheets 24 hours before kick-off. Weather conditions in the Bío Bío and Valparaíso regions during May can affect playing style. Any late withdrawals or managerial changes would shift the probability materially; the current 28% reflects baseline expectations without such disruptions.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://anfp.cl/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CD Concepción vs. Everton de Viña del Mar - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $9K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://anfp.cl/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 18 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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