Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Wuhan San Zhen FC and Yunnan Yukun FC, scheduled for May 31, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC match originally scheduled for May 31, 2026 at 7:35 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
Wuhan San Zhen FC and Yunnan Yukun FC will contest a Chinese Super League fixture on 31 May 2026. The market settles on the exact final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any unmatched scoreline resolving to "Any Other Score." The 49% implied probability for YES reflects current order book positioning on Polymarket, where traders are pricing the likelihood that the result matches one of the explicitly listed outcomes rather than falling into the catch-all category.
Exact-score markets in Chinese Super League fixtures typically see 35–55% probability mass concentrated on the most common outcomes (1–0, 1–1, 2–1, 2–0), with the remainder distributed across less frequent scorelines and the "Any Other Score" bucket. Historical precedent suggests that when two mid-table or lower-ranked clubs meet, the probability of an unlisted outcome increases, as such matches tend toward atypical results. The current 49% reading indicates the market is pricing moderate confidence in one of the listed scores occurring, consistent with fixture difficulty assessment and team form variance.
Traders should monitor team news, injury reports and squad rotation patterns as the fixture date approaches. Yunnan Yukun's recent fixture congestion and Wuhan San Zhen's defensive record will influence expected goal distribution. Any late-season managerial changes or fixture rescheduling announcements could shift implied probabilities materially. The settlement window closes at 11:35 UTC on 31 May, allowing final order book adjustments immediately before kickoff.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.csl-china.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Wuhan San Zhen FC vs. Yunnan Yukun FC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $443 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.csl-china.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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