Trade: Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Chinese Super League game between Shanghai Shenhua FC and Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC, scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC match originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 8:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $222
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Market context
Shanghai Shenhua and Shenzhen Xinpengcheng meet in the Chinese Super League on 24 May 2026, with settlement at 12:00 UTC. The market prices exact final scores at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, excluding extra time and penalties. Any outcome not explicitly listed resolves to "Any Other Score." The 49% crowd-implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects substantial uncertainty around which specific scoreline will materialise, suggesting traders are pricing in a wide distribution of plausible results rather than consensus on a single outcome.
Historical Chinese Super League matches between comparable sides show that exact-score markets typically concentrate probability across a narrow band of low-scoring results. Draws and single-goal margins dominate settlement patterns, with 1–1, 1–0, and 2–1 outcomes accounting for roughly 60–70% of final scores in league fixtures. Shanghai Shenhua's recent form and squad depth generally position them as favourites in most matchups, though Shenzhen's home advantage and tactical setup can compress expected goal differentials. The current 49% probability suggests the market is pricing meaningful variance in either team's ability to control the match.
Traders should monitor team news through May, including injury updates and any fixture rescheduling announcements from the Chinese Football Association. Shenhua's European-based players and Shenzhen's domestic roster composition affect tactical flexibility. Weather conditions on match day and referee assignments, typically confirmed 48 hours before kickoff, can influence both scoring patterns and stoppage-time duration. Recent CSL matches have shown increasing defensive organisation, which may suppress total goals below historical averages.
Wikipedia Context
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Shanghai Shenhua F.C.Shanghai Shenhua Football Club is a Chinese professional football club based in Shanghai, that competes in the Chinese Super League, the top tier of Chinese football. Shanghai Shenhua plays its home matches at the Shanghai Stadium, located within Xuhui District.
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ZPMCShanghai Zhenhua Heavy Industries Company Limited (ZPMC) is a Chinese state-owned engineering company and the world's largest manufacturer of cranes and large steel structures. In 2015 the company accounted for about 75% of the world-market share for container cranes.
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Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences
The Shanghai Academy of Social Sciences was founded in 1958 and is China's oldest think tank for the humanities and social sciences. It is the country's second largest such institution, after the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS) in Beijing. Besides funds from the municipal government of Shanghai, the academy draws financial support from non-governme
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Shanghai Sunfun F.C.Shanghai Sunfun Football Club was a professional football club based in Shanghai, China, that most recently participated in China League Two.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.csl-china.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $222 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.csl-china.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 24 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Shanghai Shenhua FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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