Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Chinese Super League game, scheduled for June 28 at 6:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Qingdao Xihaian FC (-1.5) | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-1.5) | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Qingdao Xihaian FC (-2.5) | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Zhejiang Zhiye FC (-2.5) | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 52% YES | 49% NO |
Qingdao Xihaian FC and Zhejiang Zhiye FC are scheduled to meet in the Chinese Super League on 28 June at 6:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 48% implied probability for the "More Markets" outcome, suggesting traders are pricing meaningful uncertainty around secondary market formation or related betting opportunities tied to this fixture. Settlement occurs at 10:00 AM ET on the same day, allowing a four-hour window post-match for final resolution.
Chinese Super League fixtures between mid-tier clubs typically generate moderate liquidity on prediction markets, with secondary betting markets developing only when sufficient mainstream attention accumulates. Historical precedent shows that matches involving Qingdao and Zhejiang sides attract regional interest but rarely command the volume seen in top-tier derbies. The 48% probability reflects genuine ambiguity about whether ancillary markets will materialise—a function of both team profile and broader Chinese sports betting infrastructure on any given matchday.
Traders should monitor official CSL fixture confirmations and any late team news affecting squad availability, which can shift both match outcome expectations and the likelihood of secondary market proliferation. Zhejiang's recent form and Qingdao's home advantage status will influence both direct match betting and the appetite for derivative markets. Any postponement announcements or regulatory changes affecting Chinese football betting would materially alter the probability before settlement.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.csl-china.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Qingdao Xihaian FC vs. Zhejiang Zhiye FC - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $278 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.csl-china.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 28 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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