Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the player who is awarded the 2025–26 NCAA Football Doak Walker Award. If the listed player is not announced as a finalist for the 2025–26 Doak Walker Award, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Doak Walker Award organizers and/or NCAA. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Ahmad Hardy | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Justice Haynes | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Kewan Lacy | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Jeremiyah Love | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Jonah Coleman | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Hollywood Smothers | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Emmett Johnson | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Robert Henry Jr. | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The Doak Walker Award recognises the nation's most outstanding college football kicker annually. The 2025–26 award will be presented following the conclusion of the NCAA football season, with finalists typically announced in November or December and the winner revealed in early December. The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal trading activity on this particular market or a consensus view that the listed player faces substantial headwinds to winning the award.
Historical context suggests kicker awards concentrate heavily amongst performers from elite programmes with strong postseason visibility. Winners typically compile 40+ field goals during the regular season with high accuracy rates above 85%, often from schools competing in Power Four conferences. The Doak Walker Award has shown modest year-to-year predictability; whilst standout statistical performers frequently appear in finalist discussions, the award occasionally recognises consistency and clutch performance over raw volume. A 0% probability typically indicates either that the listed player has not yet demonstrated elite-level production statistics, competes outside the traditional talent pipeline, or faces competition from several higher-profile candidates.
Traders should monitor autumn 2025 statistical releases as the season progresses, particularly field goal accuracy and volume metrics that emerge by October. Finalist announcements typically occur in late November, providing a critical checkpoint for market reassessment. The award's dependence on postseason visibility means players from teams reaching bowl games or playoff competitions receive disproportionate attention from voters. Recent precedent from 2024 award cycles shows finalists are generally identifiable by mid-November based on accumulated statistics.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://doakwalkeraward.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Doak Walker Award Winner" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$85K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for 7 months — long enough that the order book is mature and price is well-anchored to fundamentals.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://doakwalkeraward.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 30 December 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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