Resolution criteria on PolyGram: Total corners markets for the Bundesliga game between Borussia Mönchengladbach and TSG 1899 Hoffenheim, scheduled for May 16, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Total Corners: O/U 9.5 | 53% YES | 48% NO |
| Total Corners: O/U 7.5 | 77% YES | 23% NO |
| Total Corners: O/U 8.5 | 66% YES | 35% NO |
| Total Corners: O/U 10.5 | 41% YES | 60% NO |
| Total Corners: O/U 11.5 | 28% YES | 72% NO |
Borussia Mönchengladbach will host TSG 1899 Hoffenheim on 16 May 2026 in a Bundesliga fixture. The market is pricing the probability of exceeding a corners threshold at 53% YES, reflecting modest conviction that the match will generate sufficient set-piece activity. Polymarket's order book is currently forming this probability through real-time trading; the 53% figure represents the crowd's aggregate assessment as of today, with the settlement window closing at 13:30 UTC on match day.
Bundesliga corners markets typically settle between 9 and 13 total corners per match, depending on team playing style, referee tendencies, and tactical approach. Mönchengladbach averaged 5.2 corners per home match in the 2024–25 season, whilst Hoffenheim averaged 4.8 away. When these sides met previously, corner counts ranged from 8 to 12, suggesting the threshold being priced here sits near historical midpoint. The current 53% probability implies marginal lean towards YES, consistent with neither side being exceptionally corner-heavy.
Traders should monitor team news regarding defensive injuries or tactical adjustments in the final weeks before the fixture. Hoffenheim's approach under their manager—whether pressing aggressively or sitting deep—will materially affect corner frequency. Referee assignment, typically announced 48 hours before kickoff, carries weight; officials with higher card counts often manage play more tightly, reducing stoppages. Weather conditions on match day, particularly wind, can influence crossing patterns and defensive clearances that generate corners.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Borussia Mönchengladbach vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim - Total Corners" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $13K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.bundesliga.com/en/bundesliga. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 16 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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