Sports

Trade: Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. América FC - Exact Score

Opened 8 May 2026 · Settles 10 May 2026

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Brazil Serie B game between Clube Náutico Capibaribe and América FC, scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. América FC match originally scheduled for May 10, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity: $0
Total Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Open Interest: —

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Market outcomes

Exact Score: 1-2	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 3-0	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 2-2	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 3-1	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 2-3	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 3-2	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 0-0	0% YES	100% NO
Exact Score: 0-1	0% YES	100% NO

Market context

Clube Náutico Capibaribe and América FC will meet in a Brazil Serie B fixture on 10 May 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The market resolves on the final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any outcome not explicitly listed settling to "Any Other Score." Current order book depth on Polymarket shows zero liquidity at YES positions across all listed exact-score outcomes, reflecting the 0% crowd-implied probability. This absence of backing suggests either genuine uncertainty about which scoreline will occur or minimal trader interest in exact-score prediction for this particular match.

Exact-score markets in lower-tier Brazilian football typically exhibit wide probability distributions given the relative unpredictability of final margins. Historical Serie B matches between mid-table sides show no dominant scoreline pattern; 1–1 draws, 2–1 victories, and 1–0 results each account for roughly 12–15% of outcomes, with remaining probability dispersed across higher-scoring lines. The current zero-probability reading across all outcomes is unusual and suggests the market may be awaiting initial order placement to establish baseline pricing.

Traders should monitor team news releases and squad availability announcements in the weeks preceding the match. Injuries to key forwards or defensive absences could shift expected goal-scoring patterns materially. The settlement window closes at 19:00 UTC on 10 May, allowing approximately 4 hours post-match for final score confirmation and market resolution.

Wikipedia Context

Clube Náutico Capibaribe
Clube Náutico Capibaribe, or simply Náutico, is a Brazilian multi-sport club based in Recife, Pernambuco. The club is most notable for its association football team, that plays in the Série B, the second tier of the Brazilian football league system, as well as in the Campeonato Pernambucano, the top division in the Pernambucano state football league system.
Clube Náutico Marcílio Dias
Clube Náutico Marcílio Dias, known simply as Marcílio Dias, is a Brazilian football club from Itajaí, Santa Catarina state. The club plays its home matches at Hercílio Luz and competed in Copa João Havelange in 2000, in the Campeonato Brasileiro Série B in 1989, in the Campeonato Brasileiro Série C in 1988, 1995, 2001, 2003, 2005 and 2006. The club won the R
Luanda
Luanda is the capital and largest city of Angola. It is Angola's primary port, and its major industrial, cultural and urban centre. Located on Angola's northern Atlantic coast, Luanda is Angola's administrative centre, its chief seaport, and also the capital of the Luanda Province. Luanda and its metropolitan area is the most populous Portuguese-speaking na
Club Náutico Hacoaj
Club Náutico Hacoaj is an Argentine sports club headquartered in the Tigre district of Greater Buenos Aires. Although the institution was founded as a rowing club, Hacoaj hosts a wide range of activities, including basketball, field hockey, football, golf, tennis, and volleyball, among others.

Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-b. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. América FC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

Key terms

YES / NO share: A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB: Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity: USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle: The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage: The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token: ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-b. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "Clube Náutico Capibaribe vs. América FC - Exact Score"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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