Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Brazil Série A game, scheduled for Sunday, May 10, 2026 between SC Corinthians Paulista and São Paulo FC.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| SC Corinthians Paulista | 97% YES | 3% NO |
| Draw (SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| São Paulo FC | 0% YES | 100% NO |
SC Corinthians Paulista will face São Paulo FC in a Série A fixture on Sunday, 10 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 46% implied probability for a Corinthians victory, with the settlement window closing at 21:30 UTC that evening. This probability has formed through real-time trading activity and represents the market's assessment of Corinthians' chances in what constitutes one of Brazil's most storied derbies.
The Corinthians–São Paulo rivalry carries substantial historical weight in Brazilian football. Corinthians won the 2022 Série A title and has maintained competitive standing in recent seasons, whilst São Paulo has cycled through periods of stronger and weaker performance. The 46% probability for a Corinthians home win sits within a reasonable range given the clubs' recent form trajectories and head-to-head records, though derby matches often produce results that defy pre-match expectations. Traders should examine both clubs' league position and recent fixture results as of early May 2026 to contextualise whether this probability reflects current squad strength.
Key variables affecting the outcome include team news on injuries and suspensions, which typically emerge in the week preceding the match, and any managerial changes at either club. Corinthians' domestic form and European commitments (if applicable) will influence squad rotation decisions. São Paulo's defensive record and attacking efficiency in the weeks leading up to 10 May will signal their readiness. Weather conditions and referee assignments, announced closer to match day, may also shift trader positioning on the order book.
Sport Club Corinthians Paulista, commonly known as Corinthians, is a professional women's association football club based in São Paulo, Brazil. Founded in 1997, the team is affiliated with Federação Paulista de Futebol and play their home games at Estádio Parque São Jorge. The team colors, reflected in their logo and uniform, are white and black. They play i
Sport Club Corinthians Paulista's Base Categories is the youth system of Corinthians. The youth system is composed of several age categories ranging from Under-11s to Under-20s. The academy teams play in the state-wide Federação Paulista de Futebol-organized competitions, the Brazilian Football Confederation-organized national championships, and in the prest
The 2008 season was the 98th edition of the football club Sport Club Corinthians Paulista, their debut in Série B.
Sport Club Corinthians Paulista, abbreviated as either S.C. Corinthians Paulista or S.C.C.P., is a Brazilian men's professional basketball club that is based in São Paulo, Brazil. It is a part of the multi-sports club S.C. Corinthians Paulista.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-a. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "SC Corinthians Paulista vs. São Paulo FC" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$315K in lifetime turnover and $177K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $315K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.cbf.com.br/futebol-brasileiro/competicoes/campeonato-brasileiro-serie-a. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: