Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game between Bamin Real Potosí and CA Nacional Potosí, scheduled for May 31, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Bamin Real Potosí vs. CA Nacional Potosí match originally scheduled for May 31, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
Bamin Real Potosí and CA Nacional Potosí will meet in the Bolivian LFPB on 31 May 2026 at 3:00 PM ET. The market is pricing an exact final score outcome at 48% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, reflecting moderate conviction that one of the explicitly listed scorelines will materialise rather than any other result. Settlement occurs at the end of 90 minutes plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty outcomes are excluded from consideration.
Bolivian league matches historically exhibit moderate scoring volatility, with typical outcomes clustering around 1–2 goal differentials. Both Potosí-based clubs operate within a competitive mid-table environment where draws and narrow victories dominate fixture records. The current 48% probability suggests the market is pricing meaningful uncertainty around which specific scoreline occurs, with the remaining 52% distributed across alternative outcomes and the catch-all "Any Other Score" category. This distribution is consistent with markets where multiple plausible results exist but none commands overwhelming likelihood.
Traders should monitor team news and injury updates as the fixture date approaches, particularly regarding key attacking or defensive personnel. Fixture congestion in the Bolivian calendar and any weather disruptions affecting pitch conditions could influence goal-scoring patterns. Recent form, head-to-head records, and any managerial changes announced closer to late May will provide material context for reassessing the probability distribution across specific scorelines versus the broader "Any Other Score" outcome.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://lfpb.com.bo/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Bamin Real Potosí vs. CA Nacional Potosí - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $226 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://lfpb.com.bo/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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