Trade the outcome below — no house edge, instant USDC settlement on Polygon
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game between CA Nacional Potosí and CD Real Tomayapo, scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Nacional Potosí vs. CD Real Tomayapo match originally scheduled for June 12, 2026 at 5:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
Sports outcome markets settle within hours of game-end via the UMA optimistic oracle, with the YES/NO line refreshing in real time on every meaningful in-game event. Current odds favour the NO side at 47%, making this a coinflip market with 10 days to resolution, well inside the window where catalysts move price most, backed by $189 of resting liquidity.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 36% YES | 64% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 36% YES | 64% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 47% YES | 53% NO |
CA Nacional Potosí will face CD Real Tomayapo in a Bolivia LFPB fixture on 12 June 2026, with settlement contingent on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market's 47% YES probability reflects current order book positioning on Polymarket, where traders are pricing the likelihood that this match resolves to one of the explicitly listed exact-score outcomes rather than "Any Other Score." Given the specificity required—matching both teams' final tallies precisely—the complementary 53% probability assigned to all other possible scorelines demonstrates the mathematical challenge inherent in exact-score prediction markets, where even modest scoring variance fragments probability mass across dozens of potential results.
Bolivian first-division football has historically produced moderate-scoring matches, with typical encounters yielding 2–3 total goals. Nacional Potosí and Real Tomayapo represent mid-table competition within the LFPB structure, suggesting neither side possesses the attacking dominance to generate high-scoring affairs consistently. Recent Bolivian league seasons have shown that exact-score markets in comparable fixtures settle most frequently on 1–1, 1–0, and 2–1 outcomes, which collectively account for roughly 35–40% of all matches.
Traders should monitor team news and injury reports as the fixture approaches, particularly regarding key attacking or defensive personnel. Fixture congestion within the LFPB calendar and any weather conditions affecting pitch quality in Potosí's high-altitude venue could influence scoring patterns. Confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled remains essential, given the settlement window closes at 21:00 UTC on 12 June.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://lfpb.com.bo/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
For this market, the resolution date is 12 June 2026. A UMA proposer can submit the outcome from that moment; the two-hour dispute window closes at , and assuming no counter-claim is staked, winning USDC clears to trader balances by approximately .
If a dispute is filed inside the two-hour window, the outcome escalates to UMA token-holder voting, which extends settlement by roughly 48 hours. Because this market resolves from a publicly verifiable feed (https://lfpb.com.bo/), the probability of dispute is materially lower than the overall 0.5% PolyGram baseline — most disputes occur on markets with ambiguous wording or non-public resolution sources.
Sports markets on PolyGram historically have the fastest payout cycle — over 94% clear within four hours of game-end, with the remainder gated by overtime, weather, or referee review. Funds clear directly to your in-app USDC balance on Polygon. Withdrawals are non-custodial: send to any address you control, typical confirmation under 30 seconds, gas paid in USDC if you'd rather not hold MATIC.
Minimum order size on PolyGram is $1.00, with no maximum cap aside from available book depth. Orders route into Polymarket's on-chain CLOB on Polygon; the matching engine pairs YES buyers with NO buyers atomically — every executed trade is settled on-chain with no counterparty risk. For "CA Nacional Potosí vs. CD Real Tomayapo - Exact Score", sports markets tend to see the tightest 1-2¢ spreads in the final hour before tip-off, widening rapidly the moment of any in-game news.
The trade ticket includes a slippage box (default 2%, configurable 0.1%-10%) that caps the worst-case entry price. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning YES (or NO) shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. With this market's current book depth ($189 of resting liquidity), a $50 order should fill with single-cent slippage at the displayed mid-price.
PolyGram charges 0% house edge — no spread mark-up, no rake on winnings, no withdrawal fees beyond network gas. The platform earns exclusively from optional features (copy-trade boosts, advanced order types, the yield vault on idle USDC); the trading surface itself is at-cost.
Other active prediction markets in the same category on PolyGram, ranked by trading volume:
The mechanics for trading "CA Nacional Potosí vs. CD Real Tomayapo - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$168 in lifetime turnover and $189 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://lfpb.com.bo/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose. For "CA Nacional Potosí vs. CD Real Tomayapo - Exact Score", the considerations above apply directly — Sports outcome contracts are sensitive to single-event variance — a coin-flip game, a referee call, or an injured player can move the line 10-30¢ in seconds. Position sizing should reflect that variance rather than the expected value alone.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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