Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game between CA Nacional Potosí and CDT RealOruro, scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the CA Nacional Potosí vs. CDT RealOruro match originally scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 3:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
CA Nacional Potosí will face CDT RealOruro in a Bolivia LFPB fixture on 24 May 2026, with settlement contingent on the final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market currently reflects a 48% implied probability for the exact score outcome, with traders pricing in the likelihood that the match concludes with one of the explicitly listed scorelines rather than any other result. On Polymarket's order book, this probability has formed through active trading between those expecting a specific final tally and those positioning for "Any Other Score," which captures all remaining possibilities.
Bolivian league matches historically show considerable variance in final scorelines, with draws and narrow victories (1–0, 2–1 outcomes) accounting for a substantial proportion of fixtures. Nacional Potosí and RealOruro occupy mid-table positions in the LFPB standings, suggesting neither side possesses the attacking dominance to produce high-scoring encounters consistently. Previous meetings between these clubs have typically settled in the 0–0 to 2–1 range, which informs how traders are weighting the listed outcomes against the catch-all category.
Key variables affecting the settlement include team form in the weeks preceding the match, injury status of key players, and weather conditions at the fixture venue—altitude and atmospheric pressure at Potosí's stadium (3,640 metres) historically affect ball trajectory and player stamina. Any late squad announcements or fixture rescheduling would alter the information set traders are currently pricing into the 48% figure.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://lfpb.com.bo/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "CA Nacional Potosí vs. CDT RealOruro - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $261 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://lfpb.com.bo/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 24 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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