Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Bolivia LFPB game between Club Aurora and CDOriente Petrolero, scheduled for May 24, 2026 at 7:30 PM ET: This event contains halftime result markets for home, draw, and away outcomes within the first 45 minutes of regular play plus stoppage time.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CDOriente Petrolero | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Club Aurora | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Draw | 48% YES | 52% NO |
Club Aurora will host CDOriente Petrolero in a Bolivian LFPB fixture on 24 May 2026, with the halftime result market settling on outcomes within the opening 45 minutes plus stoppage time. The match kicks off at 7:30 PM ET. Current order book activity on Polymarket has priced a home halftime win at 49% implied probability, reflecting moderate confidence in Aurora's ability to establish an advantage before the interval.
Bolivian league football exhibits particular volatility in first-half scoring patterns, with altitude effects at La Paz venues (where Aurora plays) historically favouring teams acclimated to elevation. CDOriente Petrolero, based in the lowland Santa Cruz region, typically faces physiological disadvantages in opening periods when facing high-altitude opponents. Historical halftime results in comparable fixtures suggest home sides in such matchups settle between 45–55% probability, placing the current 49% reading near the midpoint of expected range for this fixture type.
Traders should monitor team news regarding squad availability and recent form trajectories heading into the settlement window closure on 24 May at 23:30 UTC. CDOriente's recent competitive schedule and any late tactical adjustments announced pre-match will influence halftime dynamics. Weather conditions at Aurora's stadium and referee assignments, typically confirmed 48 hours before kickoff, may also shift market expectations. The current probability reflects balanced positioning on Polymarket's order book, with no dominant directional conviction evident in recent trading activity.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://lfpb.com.bo/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Club Aurora vs. CDOriente Petrolero - Halftime Result" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $79 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://lfpb.com.bo/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 24 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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