Trade: Reyer Venezia vs. Derthona Basket
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Serie A game, scheduled for May 10 at 2:00PM ET: If the Reyer Venezia win, the market will resolve to "Reyer Venezia". If the Derthona Basket win, the market will resolve to "Derthona Basket". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- —
- Total Volume
- $13K
- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
- $8K
Market outcomes
| Reyer Venezia vs. Derthona Basket | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Market context
Reyer Venezia will face Derthona Basket in a Serie A basketball fixture scheduled for 10 May at 2:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket shows 0% implied probability for a Venezia victory, indicating that market participants are pricing in an extremely high likelihood of a Derthona win or reflecting substantial uncertainty about the match outcome itself. This extreme skew warrants examination of the underlying fundamentals driving such a one-sided market formation.
Venezia finished the 2023–24 Serie A season in mid-table, whilst Derthona has established itself as a competitive force in Italian basketball over recent seasons. Historical matchups between these clubs and their respective league standings provide context for evaluating whether the current 0% probability reflects genuine performance differentials or potential mispricing. The timing of this fixture—in May, near the end of the regular season—suggests both teams' form and injury status will be critical determinants of the outcome.
Traders should monitor team news releases and official Serie A announcements regarding player availability and any schedule changes in the days preceding the match. Fixture congestion, travel logistics, and rest patterns often influence Italian basketball outcomes at this stage of the season. The settlement window extends to 17 May, allowing for potential postponement scenarios. Any material roster changes or coaching announcements from either club could shift the probability away from its current extreme positioning.
Wikipedia Context
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Reyer VeneziaS.S.P. Reyer Venezia Mestre, commonly known as Reyer Venezia or simply Reyer, is an Italian professional basketball club that is based in Venice, Veneto. The club currently plays in the Lega Basket Serie A (LBA), the highest tier of basketball in Italy. Reyer operates both men's and women's professional teams, both playing in their respective first divisions
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Reyer Venezia (women)Reyer Venezia is a professional women's basketball club based in Venice, Italy. The team plays in the LBF, the highest level in Italian basketball. The team was successful in the 1930s and 1950s and won three Italian title in 1946, 2021 and 2024.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.flashscoreusa.com/basketball/italy/lega-a. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Reyer Venezia vs. Derthona Basket" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 0% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$13K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
What is the current probability for "Reyer Venezia vs. Derthona Basket"?
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.flashscoreusa.com/basketball/italy/lega-a. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 17 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Reyer Venezia vs. Derthona Basket"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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