Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Greek Basketball League game, scheduled for May 13 at 10:00AM ET: If the Panathinaikos win, the market will resolve to "Panathinaikos". If the Mykonos win, the market will resolve to "Mykonos". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Panathinaikos vs. Mykonos | 93% YES | 8% NO |
Panathinaikos will face Mykonos in a Greek Basketball League fixture scheduled for 13 May at 10:00 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 93% implied probability favouring Panathinaikos, indicating substantial confidence in the Athens-based club's victory. This probability has formed through active trading on the platform's order book, where the spread between bid and ask prices has tightened around the heavily favoured outcome.
The 93% probability sits within the typical range for matchups between top-tier and lower-tier Greek league sides. Panathinaikos competes at the elite level of Greek basketball, whilst Mykonos operates in a lower division context. Historical precedent suggests such disparities in league standing translate to win probabilities in the 85–95% range, though individual fixtures can deviate based on squad availability, fixture congestion, and motivation levels late in seasons.
Traders should monitor squad announcements and injury reports in the days preceding the match, particularly regarding Panathinaikos' key rotation players. The settlement window extends to 20 May, providing a buffer beyond the scheduled fixture date to account for potential postponements. Fixture scheduling changes within the Greek league occasionally occur due to administrative or logistical factors, though cancellation without rescheduling remains uncommon. The 50–50 resolution clause for complete cancellation represents tail risk that the current pricing does not substantially discount.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.esake.gr/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Panathinaikos vs. Mykonos" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$44 in lifetime turnover and $1K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $44 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 93%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.esake.gr/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 20 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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