Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming LNB game, scheduled for May 10 at 8:00PM ET: If the Regatas win, the market will resolve to "Regatas". If the Ferro Carril Oeste win, the market will resolve to "Ferro Carril Oeste". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Regatas vs. Ferro Carril Oeste | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Regatas and Ferro Carril Oeste are scheduled to meet in an LNB (Liga Nacional de Básquet) fixture on 10 May at 8:00 PM ET. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability for Regatas victory across Polymarket's order book, suggesting either exceptionally strong conviction amongst traders or extremely thin liquidity at current price levels. Settlement occurs on 18 May, allowing an eight-day window following the scheduled match date to accommodate any postponements within the Argentine basketball calendar.
The LNB features considerable variance in team performance across seasons, with historical matchups between these clubs showing competitive balance rather than dominant patterns. A 100% probability in basketball markets typically indicates either a substantial quality gap between opponents, recent roster changes, or insufficient order book depth to establish meaningful price discovery. Traders should assess whether this reflects genuine predictive consensus or merely reflects minimal counter-liquidity at extreme price points.
Key catalysts include official confirmation of player availability and team roster status in the days preceding the fixture. Argentine basketball scheduling occasionally experiences disruptions due to fixture congestion or administrative changes. Any announcement regarding injuries to key Regatas personnel, or conversely, unexpected roster reinforcements for Ferro Carril Oeste, could shift the probability meaningfully. Traders should monitor LNB official communications and team announcements through early May, as the settlement window's extension clause for postponements creates optionality if the match does not proceed as scheduled.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliganacional.com.ar/laliga/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Regatas vs. Ferro Carril Oeste" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$254 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $138 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliganacional.com.ar/laliga/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 18 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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