Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming AHL game, scheduled for May 7 at 7:00PM ET: If Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins win, the market will resolve to "Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins". If Hershey Bears win, the market will resolve to "Hershey Bears". If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, this market will resolve 50-50. The result will be determined based on the final score including any overtime periods and shootouts. In the event of a shootout, one goal will be added to the winning team's score for the purpose of resolution.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Hershey Bears | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins face Hershey Bears in an American Hockey League matchup on 7 May at 7:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for resolution, indicating traders are pricing near-certainty that the game will occur and conclude with a decisive winner. This extreme probability typically emerges when the settlement window is tight and the event date is imminent, leaving minimal room for cancellation or postponement scenarios.
The AHL playoff structure and scheduling patterns provide context for interpreting this probability. Both franchises operate within established regular-season and playoff calendars with few historical instances of complete cancellations; postponements occur occasionally due to weather or facility issues but are typically rescheduled within days. The May timeframe places this fixture late in the AHL season, when fixture integrity is prioritised to complete playoff runs. Comparable games at this stage show similar high probabilities once within 48 hours of scheduled play.
Traders should monitor official AHL communications and venue announcements for any weather alerts, facility maintenance, or scheduling changes that could trigger postponement. The settlement window closes 7 May at 23:00 UTC, providing a hard deadline for resolution. The 50-50 cancellation clause creates asymmetric risk only if both teams mutually withdraw, an outcome priced minimally into current odds. Confirmation of both teams' travel and roster availability typically arrives within 24 hours of game time.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://theahl.com/stats/schedule. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "AHL: Wilkes-Barre/Scranton Penguins vs. Hershey Bears" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$3K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://theahl.com/stats/schedule. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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