Resolution criteria on PolyGram: Love is Blind: Season 10 is scheduled to premiere on February 11, 2026 on Netflix. This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed person featured in Love Is Blind Season 10 becomes engaged to another participant. Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.” If a listed participant leaves the named show or it is otherwise no longer possible for them to become engaged during the relevant season of this show, this market will resolve to "No". If the finale is not released by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the show is officially cancelled, this market will resolve to “No.” The primary resolution source will be official Netflix footage of the show.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Alex Henderson | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Kevan Jones | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Tyler Hunt | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Christine Hamilton | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Tyler Lanier | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Alex Lowrie | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Connor Spies | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Devo Anderson | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Netflix's tenth season of Love is Blind will premiere on 11 February 2026, with the finale expected by the settlement deadline of 30 June 2026. The format requires participants to get engaged without seeing each other, then navigate the relationship through the season's episodes. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability that at least one listed participant becomes engaged during the season, suggesting traders assess engagement as virtually certain given the show's established mechanics and casting practices.
Historical seasons of Love is Blind have consistently produced engagements, with seasons typically featuring multiple proposals across their participant pools. Season 9, which aired in 2024, saw several participants reach engagement despite the format's inherent challenges. This track record informs the current probability assessment—the show's production deliberately selects participants willing to propose, and the structured environment facilitates multiple proposal opportunities across the season's runtime.
Key dependencies for resolution include Netflix's adherence to the February premiere date and completion of filming and post-production on schedule. Any significant production delays, cast withdrawals, or unexpected cancellation would trigger a "No" resolution. Traders should monitor Netflix's official announcements regarding the premiere date and any participant departures reported through entertainment media. The settlement window provides approximately four months post-premiere for the finale's release, a timeline consistent with previous seasons' broadcast schedules.
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Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Who will get engaged in Love is Blind: Season 10?" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$67K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for reality tv contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for 3 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 30 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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