Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Unitas Labs's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No." The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch. The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price. "1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Unitas Labs (https://x.com/UnitasLabs/) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| $20M | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| $50M | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| $100M | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| $200M | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| $300M | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| $500M | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| $800M | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Unitas Labs, a blockchain infrastructure project, is preparing to launch its governance token with public trading expected imminently. The market is pricing whether the token's fully diluted valuation will exceed a specified threshold within 24 hours of becoming actively tradeable. Current Polymarket order book depth shows traders are pricing this outcome at 100% implied probability, suggesting either exceptionally high confidence in the valuation target or minimal liquidity at current price levels.
Token launch valuations in the blockchain sector have historically been volatile and difficult to predict with precision. Recent comparable cases—including Solana's 2020 launch at approximately $0.77 and subsequent movements, or more recent layer-two protocols launching with significant initial valuations—demonstrate that first-day FDV outcomes depend heavily on initial allocation distribution, exchange listing arrangements, and market sentiment. The 100% probability reading here warrants scrutiny; such extreme pricing often reflects thin order books rather than genuine certainty about post-launch price discovery.
Traders should monitor Unitas Labs's official announcements regarding exact launch timing, initial exchange listings, and token supply mechanics, as these directly determine FDV calculation. The settlement window extends to January 2028, but the critical resolution date is 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following public trading commencement. Watch for any delays in exchange integrations, regulatory complications, or revisions to tokenomics that could shift market expectations. The most liquid price source at resolution will determine final FDV, making exchange selection and trading volume concentration important variables in the outcome.
Unitus Labs is an American microcredit organization that worked to provide credit lines to aid in development, especially in India. It is structured as a non-profit. Unitus largely works as a consultant organization, working with other organizations that are microcredit providers.
In computer science and numerical analysis, unit in the last place or unit of least precision (ulp) is the spacing between two consecutive floating-point numbers, i.e., the value the least significant digit represents if it is 1. It is used as a measure of accuracy in numeric calculations.
Unitas is an extinct genus of sea snails, marine gastropod mollusks in the family Cancellariidae.
In mathematics, an associative algebra A over a commutative ring K is a ring A together with a ring homomorphism from K into the center of A. This is thus an algebraic structure with an addition, a multiplication, and a scalar multiplication. The addition and multiplication operations together give A the structure of a ring; the addition and scalar multiplic
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "Unitas Labs FDV above ___ one day after launch?" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 January 2028. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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