Resolution criteria on PolyGram: Marco Rubio is scheduled to participate in a press briefing on May 5, 2026, 3PM ET (https://rollcall.com/factbase/trump/calendar/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marco Rubio says the listed term during the press briefing scheduled for May 5, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". If clips of old interviews or prerecorded videos are aired where Rubio is speaking, those clips will count toward this market's resolution. Plural and possessive forms of the listed term will count toward the resolution of this market regardless of context; however, other forms will NOT count.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| President / Trump 30+ times | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| President / Trump 10+ times | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Thing 7+ times | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Regime / Administration 5+ times | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Argue / Speculate 5+ times | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Democrat 5+ times | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| War / Iran 3+ times | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| House / Senate | 100% YES | 0% NO |
A prediction market is a real-money contract that pays $1 per YES share if the stated outcome occurs, and $0 if it does not. The current price is therefore the crowd's probability estimate — set by thousands of traders competing in a live order book, not a bookmaker. PolyGram routes your order into the same Polymarket venue, adds an email-first login and USDC deposits, and settles on Polygon within minutes of the result.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n29ZsD4C0HE. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=n29ZsD4C0HE. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
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