Resolution criteria on PolyGram: What price will Zcash hit before 2027?
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ↑ 1000 | 42% YES | 59% NO |
| ↑ 800 | 65% YES | 35% NO |
| ↑ 600 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| ↓ 400 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| ↓ 200 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| ↓ 50 | 13% YES | 88% NO |
| ↑ 1100 | 25% YES | 76% NO |
| ↑ 900 | 52% YES | 49% NO |
Zcash (ZEC) must reach a price point before 1 January 2027 for this market to settle YES. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 43% implied probability, suggesting traders assess roughly even odds against the target being hit within the settlement window. This probability emerges from live trading activity and reflects the collective view of participants pricing both the cryptocurrency's volatility and the timeframe remaining.
Zcash has historically traded in cycles tied to broader crypto market sentiment and privacy-coin adoption narratives. In 2021, ZEC reached approximately $270 during the bull market; it subsequently declined to lower levels through 2022–2023 before recovering modestly. The current probability weighting suggests traders view the 2026 target as achievable but not favoured, implying the price point sits meaningfully above recent trading ranges. Comparable privacy coins like Monero have shown similar cyclicality, though regulatory scrutiny on privacy features has constrained upside in recent years.
Key catalysts include regulatory developments affecting privacy-coin trading on major exchanges, network upgrades or feature announcements from the Zcash Foundation, and broader cryptocurrency market movements. Bitcoin and Ethereum price action typically drive altcoin correlations. Recent reporting indicates ongoing debate within the Zcash community regarding funding mechanisms and development priorities, which could influence investor sentiment. Traders should monitor exchange listing decisions and any material changes to privacy-coin compliance frameworks in major jurisdictions, as these directly affect liquidity and price discovery.
Predatory pricing, also known as price slashing, is a commercial pricing strategy which involves reducing the retail prices to a level lower than competitors to eliminate competition. Selling at lower prices than a competitor is known as undercutting. This is where an industry dominant firm with sizable market power will deliberately reduce the prices of a p
Price Mashaw Cobbs, M.D. was an American psychiatrist, civil rights leader, author and management consultant. He published extensively about racism and created a clinical model called Ethnotherapy. He was one of the founders of the African American Leadership Institute Anderson School of Business at UCLA and a Life Member of the NAACP. He co-authored two boo
The price/cash flow ratio, is a financial ratio used to compare a company's market value to its cash flow. It is calculated by dividing the company's market cap by the company's operating cash flow in the most recent fiscal year ; or, equivalently, divide the per-share stock price by the per-share operating cash flow.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "What price will Zcash hit in 2026?" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$232K in lifetime turnover and $13K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for hit price contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $755 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for 6 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 January 2027. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: