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Trade: T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Sierra Leone vs Rwanda - Most Sixes

Opened 26 May 2026 · Settles 4 June 2026

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Sierra Leone and Rwanda scheduled for 2026-05-27 in T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Sierra Leone will be considered correct if Sierra Leone is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Rwanda.The outcome corresponding to Rwanda will be considered correct if Rwanda is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Sierra Leone. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw".

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity: $0
Total Volume: —
24h Volume: —
Open Interest: —

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Market outcomes

SLE5	100% YES	0% NO
Draw	0% YES	100% NO
RWA3	0% YES	100% NO

Market context

Sierra Leone and Rwanda will contest a T20 World Cup Sub Regional Africa Qualifier match on 27 May 2026, with this market tracking which team strikes more sixes. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for YES, indicating the market consensus expects at least one team to hit sixes in the encounter. This extreme pricing suggests either minimal liquidity depth or a technical settlement condition where both teams hitting zero sixes is considered improbable by traders.

Historical context for African T20 cricket reveals significant variance in six-hitting rates across regional qualifiers. Teams from smaller cricket nations typically average 4–8 sixes per T20 innings when facing comparable opposition, though this fluctuates considerably based on pitch conditions, bowling quality and match situation. Rwanda's limited international T20 exposure creates uncertainty around baseline expectations, whilst Sierra Leone has participated in previous ICC regional events. The 100% probability reflects confidence that at least one side will clear the boundary, a reasonable assumption given T20 format dynamics, though it leaves no margin for an unusually conservative match or pitch conditions favouring seam bowling.

Traders should monitor team announcements regarding squad composition and recent warm-up fixtures closer to the May fixture date, as these will clarify batting depth and aggressive intent. Pitch reports from the host venue and weather forecasts will influence six-hitting likelihood materially. Any late withdrawals or injury updates affecting key batsmen could shift the relative balance between teams, though the current pricing suggests minimal expectation of such disruption.

Wikipedia Context

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The 2009 ICC World Twenty20 was the second edition of the Men's T20 World Cup, formerly known as the ICC World Twenty20 that took place in England in June 2009. As before, the tournament featured 12 male teams – nine of the ten Test-playing nations and three associate nations, which earned their places through a qualification tournament. ICC Full member Zimb
2012 World Twenty20
The 2012 ICC World Twenty20 was the fourth edition of the Men's T20 World Cup, formerly known as the ICC World Twenty20, an international Twenty20 cricket tournament that took place in Sri Lanka from 18 September to 7 October 2012 which was won by the West Indies. This was the first World Twenty20 tournament held in an Asian country, the last three having be
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The World's Billionaires is an annual ranking of people who are billionaires, i.e., they are considered to have a net worth of US$1 billion or more, by the American business magazine Forbes. The list was first published in March 1987. The total net worth of each individual on the list is estimated and is cited in United States dollars, based on their documen
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Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Sierra Leone vs Rwanda - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

Key terms

YES / NO share: A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB: Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity: USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle: The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage: The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token: ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

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Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "T20 World Cup, Sub Regional Africa, Qualifier A: Sierra Leone vs Rwanda - Most Sixes"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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