Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team's player records the highest individual run total in the cricket match between Romania and Bulgaria scheduled for 2026-05-08 in T20 Series Romania vs Bulgaria. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Romania will be considered correct if the highest individual score in the match is recorded exclusively by a player from Romania. The outcome corresponding to Bulgaria will be considered correct if the highest individual score is recorded exclusively by a player from Bulgaria.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| BGR | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| ROU | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Romania and Bulgaria will compete in a T20 cricket match on 8 May 2026, with this market tracking which team produces the match's highest individual batter. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for the Romania outcome, suggesting traders are pricing in either a Bulgaria victory in the top-batter metric or substantial uncertainty about match execution. Settlement will be determined by ESPN Cricinfo's finalised statistics, with the market closing on 15 May 2026.
T20 cricket's format—20 overs per side with aggressive batting—typically produces individual scores ranging from 30 to 80 runs, though explosive performances can exceed 100. Historical context matters here: both Romania and Bulgaria field developing cricket programmes with limited international T20 exposure compared to established nations. The current zero probability for Romania likely reflects either algorithmic pricing on thin liquidity or trader assessment that Bulgaria's squad composition favours higher individual scoring potential. Without recent head-to-head records or detailed squad information in public circulation, the market is pricing on structural assumptions rather than match-specific data.
Traders should monitor squad announcements and any pre-match team news released closer to 8 May, particularly regarding key batters' form and injury status. Pitch reports from the venue will influence expected scoring rates. The settlement window's seven-day buffer after the match allows for any statistical corrections ESPN Cricinfo might publish, though this rarely affects top-scorer determinations in professional cricket records.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 Series Romania vs Bulgaria: Romania vs Bulgaria - Team Top Batter" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$500 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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