Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the FIFA World Cup game, scheduled for June 17 at 10:00 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Uzbekistan (-1.5) | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Colombia (-1.5) | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Uzbekistan (-2.5) | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 0.5 | 93% YES | 7% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 28% YES | 73% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 12% YES | 89% NO |
| O/U 5.5 | 7% YES | 94% NO |
Uzbekistan and Colombia are scheduled to meet in a FIFA World Cup group-stage fixture on 17 June 2026 at 10:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 2% implied probability for additional markets being created around this specific match, suggesting traders view the likelihood as remote that supplementary betting markets will materialise beyond those already listed.
Historical precedent from previous World Cup cycles shows that major sportsbooks and prediction platforms typically establish their core market suite well before tournament play begins, with secondary or niche markets added selectively based on demand rather than automatically for every fixture. The 2022 Qatar World Cup saw similar patterns, where markets proliferated for headline matchups and knockout stages but remained sparse for certain group-stage encounters, particularly those involving lower-ranked nations. Uzbekistan's FIFA ranking (around 85th) and Colombia's position (around 20th) suggests this fixture may not generate the same market-creation urgency as higher-profile clashes.
Traders should monitor FIFA's official fixture confirmations and any major sportsbook announcements regarding market expansion in late May and early June 2026. Polymarket's own product roadmap and user demand signals will be material catalysts; if either team's qualification status becomes unexpectedly dramatic or if betting volume on related markets spikes, platform operators may respond by launching additional derivatives. The settlement window closing on 18 June allows roughly 24 hours post-match for any new markets to be created and resolved.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Uzbekistan vs. Colombia - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1K in lifetime turnover and $80K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for fifa world cup contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $193 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.fifa.com/fifaplus/en/tournaments/mens/worldcup. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 18 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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