Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket semifinal match between ZETA DIVISION and Gen.G Esports in the Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1, initially scheduled for May 12 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "ZETA DIVISION" if ZETA DIVISION win the match against Gen.G Esports. This market will resolve to "Gen.G Esports" if Gen.G Esports win the match against ZETA DIVISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 31% YES | 70% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 34% YES | 66% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 34% YES | 66% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Map Handicap: Gen.G (-1.5) vs ZETA DIVISION (+1.5) | 28% YES | 73% NO |
ZETA DIVISION and Gen.G Esports will contest a lower bracket semifinal in the Valorant Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1, with the winner advancing and the loser eliminated from the competition. The match is scheduled for 12 May at 04:00 ET, with settlement occurring at 14:00 UTC the same day. Currently, the order book on Polymarket implies a 27% probability for ZETA DIVISION victory, reflecting Gen.G as the favoured side.
Gen.G's positioning reflects their recent form in regional competition and roster stability. ZETA DIVISION, historically a strong Japanese representative, has faced inconsistency in 2024–2025, whilst Gen.G maintains a more established track record in international qualifiers. The 73% implied probability for Gen.G aligns with their seeding advantage in this stage, though lower bracket matches introduce volatility given both teams' motivation to advance.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any schedule adjustments in the days preceding the match, as the Esports World Cup format has experienced occasional delays. Recent performance data from both teams' group stage matches will clarify current form. Any last-minute roster changes or player availability issues—particularly affecting key agents like initiators or controllers—could shift the matchup dynamics. The seven-day resolution window provides buffer for scheduling contingencies, though the tight settlement timing at 14:00 UTC requires confirmation of final results within hours of match completion.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://vlr.gg. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: ZETA DIVISION vs Gen.G Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Pacific Qualifier Stage 1" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$169 in lifetime turnover and $11K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $169 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://vlr.gg. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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