Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Lower bracket final match between Karmine Corp and GIANTX in the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 1, initially scheduled for May 13 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Karmine Corp" if Karmine Corp win the match against GIANTX. This market will resolve to "GIANTX" if GIANTX win the match against Karmine Corp. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: GX (-1.5) vs Karmine Corp (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Karmine Corp and GIANTX will compete in the lower bracket final of the Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 1 for Valorant, with the winner advancing further in the tournament structure. The match is scheduled for 13 May at 12:00 PM ET, with settlement occurring at 22:00 UTC that same day. The current orderbook on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for the YES outcome, indicating traders are pricing near-certain confidence in match completion and a decisive result.
The 100% probability reading is unusual for esports matches and warrants scrutiny against comparable fixtures. Lower bracket finals in major Valorant tournaments typically proceed as scheduled, though technical issues, player illness, or administrative delays have occasionally forced postponements. The seven-day grace period in the resolution criteria provides substantial buffer for rescheduling without triggering a 50-50 split, which historical precedent suggests most organisers will utilise if complications arise. Matches that begin but remain incomplete have specific resolution rules tied to round outcomes, reducing ambiguity compared to earlier-stage fixtures.
Traders should monitor Esports World Cup official communications for any schedule adjustments or team roster changes in the days preceding 13 May. Both organisations have established track records in European Valorant competition, reducing the likelihood of withdrawal or forfeiture. The settlement window extends to 22:00 UTC, allowing sufficient time for match completion and official result confirmation. Any announcement regarding venue issues, internet connectivity problems, or player availability would represent material information affecting the current probability assessment.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/beyaz. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: Karmine Corp vs GIANTX (BO3) - Esports World Cup EMEA Qualifier Stage 1" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$20K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $20K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/beyaz. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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