Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Grand final match between Joblife and WIP Esports in the VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 12 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Joblife" if Joblife win the match against WIP Esports. This market will resolve to "WIP Esports" if WIP Esports win the match against Joblife. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 60% YES | 41% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 54% YES | 46% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 54% YES | 46% NO |
| Map 3 Winner | 54% YES | 47% NO |
| Map 4 Winner | 55% YES | 45% NO |
| O/U 3.5 Games | 72% YES | 28% NO |
| O/U 4.5 Games | 35% YES | 66% NO |
| Map Handicap: JL (-2.5) vs WIP Esports (+2.5) | 18% YES | 83% NO |
The VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs grand final will pit Joblife against WIP Esports in a best-of-five Valorant match scheduled for 12 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 58% implied probability for Joblife victory, suggesting the market views them as moderate favourites despite this being a competitive French regional final. Settlement occurs at 22:00 UTC on 12 May, allowing for the full match window plus administrative closure.
French Valorant's competitive landscape has historically favoured established organisations with consistent roster stability and scrim infrastructure. Joblife's positioning at 58% reflects typical market pricing for teams with slight edge in recent form or head-to-head records, though VCL France finals routinely produce tight contests where single map performances shift momentum significantly. WIP Esports' 42% implied probability suggests the market perceives them as capable challengers rather than underdogs, consistent with how Polymarket prices regional finals where both teams have qualified through legitimate playoff progression.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any schedule adjustments in the days preceding 12 May, as French esports fixtures occasionally shift due to venue or broadcast coordination. Recent VCL France communications and team social media will signal any lineup changes or preparation concerns. The settlement mechanism includes provisions for incomplete matches or cancellations beyond seven days, though such outcomes remain uncommon for scheduled finals. Current liquidity in the order book will likely tighten as match day approaches, potentially shifting the probability if new information emerges regarding player availability or team form.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_fr. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: Joblife vs WIP Esports (BO5) - VCL France: Revolution Stage 2 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$15K in lifetime turnover and $27K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $11K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_fr. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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