Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Valorant Upper bracket quarterfinal 3 match between Fancy United and Oasis Gaming in the VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 5 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Fancy United" if Fancy United win the match against Oasis Gaming. This market will resolve to "Oasis Gaming" if Oasis Gaming win the match against Fancy United. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map 1 Winner | 55% YES | 45% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Match Winner | 57% YES | 43% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: FCY (-1.5) vs Oasis Gaming (+1.5) | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Map 1 Rounds Handicap: Fancy United (-2.5) vs Oasis Gaming (+2.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 1 Total Rounds: Over/Under 21.5 | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 2 Rounds Handicap: Fancy United (-2.5) vs Oasis Gaming (+2.5) | 51% YES | 50% NO |
Fancy United and Oasis Gaming face off in the upper bracket quarterfinal of the Valorant Competitive League Southeast Asia playoffs on 5 June, with the winner advancing and the loser dropping to the lower bracket. The match is scheduled for 7:00 AM ET and will be played as a best-of-three series. The current order book on Polymarket prices Fancy United at 54% implied probability, reflecting modest favouritism amongst traders.
Southeast Asian Valorant competition has historically featured volatile team performance across seasons, with roster changes and coaching adjustments producing significant swings in competitive standing. Both organisations have competed in previous VCL iterations, though their relative strength fluctuates considerably depending on current line-up composition and recent scrim results. Teams in this region rarely maintain consistent form across extended playoff runs, making historical head-to-head records less predictive than current-form indicators. The 54% probability suggests traders view this as a genuine toss-up with marginal edge to Fancy United, likely reflecting recent tournament placements or perceived roster depth.
Traders should monitor official VCL Southeast Asia announcements regarding any roster confirmations or last-minute substitutions in the days preceding the match, as player availability significantly impacts competitive outcomes in regional competitions. Schedule adherence has been generally reliable for VCL events, though technical issues or unforeseen delays occasionally occur. The settlement window closes 7 days after the scheduled start, providing a reasonable buffer for match completion. Any cancellation or tie would trigger a 50-50 resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_pacific. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Valorant: Fancy United vs Oasis Gaming (BO3) - VCL Southeast Asia: Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$62 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $62 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/valorant_pacific. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: