Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Overwatch Upper bracket semifinal 2 match between Crazy Raccoon and T1 in the OCS Asia Stage 1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 9 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Crazy Raccoon" if Crazy Raccoon win the match against T1. This market will resolve to "T1" if T1 win the match against Crazy Raccoon. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Crazy Raccoon and T1 are scheduled to contest the upper bracket semifinal 2 of the Overwatch Champions Series Asia Stage 1 Playoffs on 9 May 2026 at 04:00 ET. The match will be played as a best-of-three series, with settlement occurring at 14:00 UTC on the same date. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Crazy Raccoon, indicating traders are pricing this as a near-certain outcome for the Japanese organisation.
T1's historical performance in Overwatch competitive play provides context for reading this probability. The South Korean organisation has maintained variable results across regional competitions, whilst Crazy Raccoon has established itself as a consistent performer within the Asian competitive circuit. Previous upper bracket matchups between regional powerhouses have occasionally produced upsets when preparation gaps emerge, though the current pricing suggests traders perceive minimal uncertainty in this fixture.
Key catalysts affecting settlement include confirmation of team rosters and any last-minute roster changes announced before the scheduled start time. Overwatch patch updates released in the weeks preceding the tournament can substantially alter team preparation and meta-dependent strategies. The settlement window's seven-day buffer accounts for potential scheduling delays common in international esports fixtures, though the current Polymarket depth indicates traders expect the match to proceed as scheduled without complications requiring resolution ambiguity.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/ow_esports_jp. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Overwatch: Crazy Raccoon vs T1 (BO3) - OCS Asia Stage 1 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$491 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/ow_esports_jp. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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