Trade: LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition and ROSSMANN Centaurs in the Prime League 1st Division Group A, initially scheduled for May 12 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition" if Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition win the match against ROSSMANN Centaurs. This market will resolve to "ROSSMANN Centaurs" if ROSSMANN Centaurs win the match against Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $32K
- Total Volume
- $812
- 24h Volume
- $543
- Open Interest
- $720
Market outcomes
| Any Player Penta Kill | 57% YES | 43% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Match Winner | 91% YES | 9% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 88% YES | 13% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 88% YES | 13% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 14% YES | 86% NO |
| Game Handicap: USE (-1.5) vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (+1.5) | 78% YES | 23% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 27% YES | 74% NO |
Market context
Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition face ROSSMANN Centaurs in a best-of-three League of Legends match within Germany's Prime League 1st Division Group A, scheduled for 12 May at 1:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 57% implied probability favouring Unicorns, suggesting the market perceives them as slight favourites in this domestic competition fixture.
Prime League matches between mid-tier German teams typically exhibit tight margins, with historical outcomes often determined by meta alignment and recent scrim performance rather than raw roster strength alone. Unicorns Of Love has maintained competitive standing in previous seasons, though roster stability and coaching changes have periodically affected consistency. ROSSMANN Centaurs represent a challenger squad with variable performance records. The 57% probability sits within the range expected for a matchup where one team holds marginal advantage but genuine upset potential remains credible.
Traders should monitor official Prime League scheduling announcements for any postponements, as the settlement window extends only seven days beyond the scheduled date. Recent roster moves or player availability issues—particularly mid-lane or jungle substitutions—can materially shift preparation quality in best-of-three formats. Patch timing relative to the match date matters significantly; if Riot releases a major balance update immediately before play, teams with superior adaptation capacity gain edge. Watch for any official statements from either organisation regarding preparation status in the week preceding 12 May.
Wikipedia Context
-
The Lion and the Unicorn: Socialism and the English Genius
"The Lion and the Unicorn: Socialism and the English Genius" is an essay by George Orwell expressing his opinions on the situation in World War II–era Britain. The title alludes to the heraldic supporters appearing in the full royal coat of arms of the United Kingdom.
-
Lion and Unicorn StaircaseThe Lion and Unicorn Staircase, at the University of Glasgow, is located next to the university's Memorial Chapel on the west side of the Main Building. It consists of two flights connected by a landing, the upper flight turning ninety degrees to the left from the lower flight. There is a balustrade adorned with sculptures of a unicorn on the left and a lion
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/primeleague. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$812 in lifetime turnover and $32K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $543 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/primeleague. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "LoL: Unicorns Of Love Sexy Edition vs ROSSMANN Centaurs (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Related prediction markets
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: