Trade: LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Orbit Anonymo and BOMBA Team in the Rift Legends Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 20 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "Orbit Anonymo" if Orbit Anonymo win the match against BOMBA Team. This market will resolve to "BOMBA Team" if BOMBA Team win the match against Orbit Anonymo. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $716
- Total Volume
- —
- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
- —
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 26% YES | 74% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Game Handicap: BOOM (-1.5) vs Orbit Anonymo (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
Orbit Anonymo face BOMBA Team in a best-of-three League of Legends match within the Rift Legends Regular Season, scheduled for 20 May at 1:30PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices Orbit Anonymo's victory at 26%, implying roughly 74% probability for BOMBA Team. This pricing reflects market participants' assessment of relative team strength, recent form, and roster composition ahead of the fixture.
The 26% probability for Orbit Anonymo suggests the market views them as significant underdogs, a positioning that typically emerges when one team has demonstrated consistent performance advantages or superior recent results. Historical precedent in regional League competitions shows that teams trading below 30% win probability often possess either roster instability, recent losses to comparable opponents, or documented weaknesses in macro play that stronger teams exploit. Without access to current season standings or recent head-to-head records between these squads, traders should examine whether Orbit Anonymo's underdog status reflects genuine skill gaps or potential value mispricing based on outdated information.
Key variables for traders include roster announcements or last-minute substitutions before the 1:30PM ET start time, which could shift the implied probability materially. Patch changes to League's meta, if implemented close to the match date, may disproportionately favour one team's champion pool or playstyle. The settlement window closes at 23:30 UTC on 20 May, allowing approximately 22 hours post-match for official result confirmation. Any delay extending beyond 7 days without a decisive outcome triggers a 50-50 resolution, creating tail-risk exposure for traders holding positions near the deadline.
Wikipedia Context
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Low Orbit Ion CannonLow Orbit Ion Cannon (LOIC) is an open-source network stress testing and denial-of-service attack application written in C#. LOIC was initially developed by Praetox Technologies; however, it was later released into the public domain and is currently available on various open-source platforms.
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Lagrange pointIn celestial mechanics, the Lagrange points, also called the Lagrangian points or libration points, are points of equilibrium for small-mass objects under the gravitational influence of two massive orbiting bodies. Mathematically, this involves the solution of the restricted three-body problem.
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Lolo RicoMaría Dolores Rico Oliver, known professionally as Lolo Rico, was a writer, television producer, screenwriter and Spanish journalist.
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ClockseedClockseed is the fourth studio album by Vampire Rodents, released on April 7, 1995, by Re-Constriction Records.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/nervarien. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $716 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/nervarien. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 20 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "LoL: Orbit Anonymo vs BOMBA Team (BO3) - Rift Legends Regular Season"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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