Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Kaufland Hangry Knights and BIG in the Prime League 1st Division Group A, initially scheduled for May 7 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Kaufland Hangry Knights" if Kaufland Hangry Knights win the match against BIG. This market will resolve to "BIG" if BIG win the match against Kaufland Hangry Knights. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Kaufland Hangry Knights face BIG in a best-of-three League of Legends match within the Prime League 1st Division Group A, scheduled for 7 May at 1:00 PM ET. The settlement window closes at 23:00 UTC that same day. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal liquidity in the pair or strong market consensus favouring BIG, though with no recent trades visible, the probability may simply represent a wide spread rather than genuine conviction about the matchup.
Prime League matches involving German organisations typically draw modest trading volume on prediction markets, particularly when neither team commands significant esports betting infrastructure. Historical comparable cases suggest that 0% probabilities in regional League of Legends fixtures often persist due to thin order books rather than certainty; matches between mid-tier teams frequently see probability shifts only after line-ups are confirmed or injury news emerges. Hangry Knights and BIG's recent form, roster stability, and head-to-head records would normally anchor expectations, but without recent public statements on team composition or performance metrics, the market may be pricing in default assumptions.
Traders should monitor official Prime League announcements regarding match postponements, which occasionally occur within the German esports circuit. Any roster changes, coaching staff updates, or public statements from either organisation in the days preceding 7 May could shift the order book. The settlement condition regarding delays beyond seven days without a winner creates a 50-50 resolution tail risk; confirmation that the match will proceed as scheduled would be a material catalyst for liquidity entry.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/primeleague. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Kaufland Hangry Knights vs BIG (BO3) - Prime League 1st Division Group A" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$39K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/primeleague. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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