Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the LoL match between Bubliki and ZeroZone Gaming in the LPLOL Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 7 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Bubliki" if Bubliki win the match against ZeroZone Gaming. This market will resolve to "ZeroZone Gaming" if ZeroZone Gaming win the match against Bubliki. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Slay Baron Nashor | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Slay a Dragon | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Inhibitors | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Quadra Kill | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Penta Kill | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Bubliki and ZeroZone Gaming are scheduled to contest a best-of-one League of Legends match in the LPLOL Regular Season on 7 May at 5:00PM ET. The market currently reflects a 100% implied probability for Bubliki's victory across Polymarket's order book, suggesting either overwhelming confidence in the favourite or minimal liquidity at current spreads. Settlement occurs by 8 May at 03:00 UTC, with provisions for cancellation, ties, or delays exceeding seven days resolving to 50-50.
Chinese regional League of Legends competitions have historically demonstrated volatile match outcomes despite seeding disparities, particularly in regular season fixtures where roster experimentation and meta adaptation create unpredictability. The 100% probability reading warrants scrutiny given typical LPLOL competitive depth; comparable fixtures between established and emerging rosters rarely sustain such extreme pricing unless one team carries demonstrable structural disadvantage or recent roster disruption. Historical cancellations in Chinese esports remain infrequent but carry material risk during regular seasons when scheduling pressures mount.
Traders should monitor official LPLOL schedule confirmations and any roster announcements from either organisation in the days preceding the fixture. Recent patch changes affecting champion viability could influence team preparation strategies. Network or broadcast disruptions have occasionally delayed Chinese regional matches, though completion within the seven-day window remains standard. Liquidity conditions on Polymarket's order book will likely shift if either team's status changes materially before match time.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/rtparenalol. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "LoL: Bubliki vs ZeroZone Gaming (BO1) - LPLOL Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$87K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/rtparenalol. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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