Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Satan666 and Grind Back in the EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 7 at 5:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Satan666" if Satan666 win the match against Grind Back. This market will resolve to "Grind Back" if Grind Back win the match against Satan666. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Game Handicap: Grind (-1.5) vs Satan666 (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Satan666 and Grind Back are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three Dota 2 match on 7 May at 05:00 ET as part of the EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for Satan666, indicating the market is pricing near-certain victory for Grind Back. This extreme skew typically emerges when one team carries substantial historical advantage or when recent form divergences are pronounced enough to collapse competitive uncertainty.
Southeast Asian Dota 2 regional competitions have historically featured volatile team performances tied to roster stability and recent LAN results. Teams competing in EPL group stages often experience significant probability shifts based on scrim results and last-minute roster confirmations, particularly when international players are involved. The 0% pricing suggests either a decisive historical matchup record favouring Grind Back or recent tournament results that have eliminated perceived competitive parity between these squads.
Traders should monitor official EPL scheduling confirmations through the tournament's social channels and team announcements regarding final roster locks, which typically occur 24–48 hours before group stage matches. Any roster changes, player illness, or technical issues affecting either team could trigger repricing. The settlement window extends to 7 May at 15:20 UTC, allowing approximately ten hours post-match for result confirmation. Delays beyond seven days without a determined winner would trigger 50-50 resolution, a tail risk worth tracking given Southeast Asian infrastructure variability.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/epldota_en1. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: Satan666 vs Grind Back (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$15K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/epldota_en1. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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