Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 match between Satan666 and GLYPH in the EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 8 at 2:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Satan666" if Satan666 win the match against GLYPH. This market will resolve to "GLYPH" if GLYPH win the match against Satan666. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Rampage | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Satan666 and GLYPH are scheduled to compete in a Dota 2 best-of-three match during the EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage on 8 May at 02:00 ET. The market currently reflects a 0% implied probability for Satan666 victory on Polymarket's order book, suggesting either extreme confidence in GLYPH or an absence of liquidity at any price level. This zero probability state typically indicates no active bids exist for Satan666 at any valuation, rather than certainty of outcome.
Southeast Asian Dota 2 competition has historically featured volatile matchups between regional teams with inconsistent international exposure. Satan666 and GLYPH's relative strength within the EPL ecosystem requires assessment against their recent tournament placements and roster stability. Teams in this region frequently experience roster changes and coaching adjustments between qualifiers and group stages, which can substantially alter competitive dynamics. The 0% reading should be contextualised against typical liquidity patterns in lower-tier esports markets, where thin order books can produce extreme probability readings that don't reflect genuine predictive consensus.
Key catalysts include any roster announcements or player substitutions prior to the scheduled match date, official confirmation of the fixture proceeding as scheduled, and any technical issues or delays that might trigger the 7-day cancellation clause. Traders should monitor EPL's official communications and team social media for withdrawal announcements or scheduling changes. The settlement window closes 8 May at 12:20 ET, providing a four-hour buffer after the scheduled 02:00 ET start time for match completion and result confirmation.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/epldota_en1. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: Satan666 vs GLYPH (BO3) - EPL World Series Southeast Asia Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$21K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/epldota_en1. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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