Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 1 match between REKONIX and Grind Back in the Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 3 at 12:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "REKONIX" if REKONIX win the match against Grind Back. This market will resolve to "Grind Back" if Grind Back win the match against REKONIX. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 62% YES | 39% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 61% YES | 39% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 59% YES | 42% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Game Handicap: RNX (-1.5) vs Grind Back (+1.5) | 39% YES | 62% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 31% YES | 69% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 28% YES | 72% NO |
REKONIX and Grind Back are scheduled to compete in the Upper Bracket Quarterfinal 1 of the Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs on 3 June at 12:00 AM ET, with the winner advancing further in the tournament bracket. The match is a best-of-three series in Dota 2, a competitive five-versus-five strategy game where regional qualification tournaments determine participation in larger international events.
The current 63% implied probability favouring REKONIX reflects typical market positioning for matches involving established rosters versus less-documented challengers in Southeast Asian Dota 2 qualifiers. Historical patterns in regional qualifier markets show that teams with consistent LAN appearances and documented recent results command probability premiums, though Southeast Asian Dota 2 remains volatile given roster instability and limited match data compared to European or Chinese circuits. Grind Back's baseline probability sits substantially lower, suggesting the market perceives a significant skill or preparation gap.
Traders should monitor official tournament schedule confirmations and any roster announcements through the Esports World Cup's communications channels, as Southeast Asian qualifier matches occasionally experience scheduling shifts or technical delays. The settlement window closes at 10:00 AM ET on 3 June, providing a narrow window for match completion; any delay extending beyond 7 days triggers a 50-50 resolution. Current order book depth on Polymarket will indicate whether the 63% probability reflects genuine conviction or thin liquidity, with significant YES-side positioning potentially indicating late backing of REKONIX ahead of the scheduled start.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/betboom_dota_ru4. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: REKONIX vs Grind Back (BO3) - Esports World Cup Southeast Asia Closed Qualifier Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$9K in lifetime turnover and $37K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $9K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/betboom_dota_ru4. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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