Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 Upper bracket semifinal 1 match between Ramzes Club and Daxak Club in the Winline Star Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 4 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Ramzes Club" if Ramzes Club win the match against Daxak Club. This market will resolve to "Daxak Club" if Daxak Club win the match against Ramzes Club. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 80% YES | 21% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 52% YES | 48% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 53% YES | 48% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 32% YES | 68% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 29% YES | 71% NO |
| Any Player Ultra Kill | 33% YES | 68% NO |
Ramzes Club face Daxak Club in an upper bracket semifinal of the Winline Star Series Playoffs, a best-of-three Dota 2 match scheduled for 4 June at 12:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects an 80% implied probability for Ramzes Club victory, suggesting the market views them as clear favourites in this matchup.
Ramzes Club have established themselves as a consistently competitive roster in the post-TI landscape, with multiple deep playoff runs across major tournaments. Daxak Club, whilst capable, operate at a tier below the established top-four CIS and international squads. Historical precedent from similar regional playoffs shows that when skill gaps of this magnitude appear in best-of-three formats, the favoured team converts roughly 75–85% of the time, which aligns with current pricing. However, single-elimination brackets introduce volatility; upsets in Dota 2 playoffs occur when preparation advantages or meta-read advantages favour the underdog.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding roster stability and any last-minute stand-in requirements, which could materially shift win probabilities. The settlement window closes 7 days post-scheduled date, meaning delays beyond 11 June would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Recent Winline tournament broadcasts have maintained reliable scheduling, though technical delays of 1–2 hours remain common. Any official postponement or cancellation notices from the tournament organiser would immediately impact the order book's pricing.
Multiplayer online battle arena (MOBA) is a subgenre of strategy video games in which two teams of players compete on a structured battlefield, each controlling a single character with distinctive abilities that grow stronger as the match progresses. The objective is to destroy the enemy team's main structure while defending one's own. In some MOBA games, th
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.dotabuff.com. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: Ramzes Club vs Daxak Club (BO3) - Winline Star Series Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$22 in lifetime turnover and $8K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $22 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.dotabuff.com. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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