Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Dota 2 match between PARIVISION and Xtreme Gaming in the DreamLeague Group B, initially scheduled for May 14 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Xtreme Gaming. This market will resolve to "Xtreme Gaming" if Xtreme Gaming win the match against PARIVISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 67% YES | 34% NO |
| Game 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Game 2 Winner | 61% YES | 39% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Game Handicap: PARI (-1.5) vs Xtreme Gaming (+1.5) | 43% YES | 57% NO |
| Ends in Daytime | 52% YES | 48% NO |
| Both Teams Beat Roshan | 32% YES | 68% NO |
| Both Teams Destroy Barracks | 27% YES | 73% NO |
PARIVISION face Xtreme Gaming in a best-of-three Dota 2 match within DreamLeague's Group B stage, scheduled for 14 May at 1:00 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 69% implied probability for PARIVISION victory, suggesting the market views them as clear favourites. This probability has formed through real-time trading activity as participants weigh team composition, recent form, and head-to-head records ahead of the fixture.
PARIVISION's elevated odds align with their positioning as a stronger regional squad, though DreamLeague Group B matches historically feature volatile outcomes given the tournament's mixed-strength participant pool. Recent Dota 2 qualifiers and regional competitions have shown that mid-tier Asian teams can produce upset performances, particularly in best-of-three formats where draft flexibility and adaptation matter substantially. The 31-point gap between the implied probability and an even matchup suggests confidence in PARIVISION's superiority rather than overwhelming dominance.
Traders should monitor team roster confirmations and any last-minute stand-in announcements, which remain common in regional Dota 2 competitions. Patch changes deployed before the event window could alter hero viability and favour particular teams' strategic preferences. Schedule adherence matters given the settlement window's seven-day buffer; delays beyond that trigger a 50-50 resolution. Recent ESL and PGL tournament coverage indicates DreamLeague typically maintains fixture schedules, though technical issues during group stages have occasionally caused postponements. Confirmation of both teams' participation status should be verified closer to the scheduled start time.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$6 in lifetime turnover and $6K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $6 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/esl_dota2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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