Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between SINQU and Imperial Academy in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 11 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "SINQU" if SINQU win the match against Imperial Academy. This market will resolve to "Imperial Academy" if Imperial Academy win the match against SINQU. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 26% YES | 74% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
SINQU and Imperial Academy are scheduled to face off in a best-of-one Counter-Strike match within ESEA Advanced Europe's regular season on 11 May at 2:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices SINQU's victory at 26%, implying Imperial Academy as the favoured outcome at 74%. This probability reflects real-time trading activity and represents the aggregate assessment of market participants weighing team strength, recent form, and roster stability.
ESEA Advanced Europe serves as a competitive proving ground for teams developing towards professional circuits, with outcomes often volatile due to inconsistent preparation levels and roster turnover. Historical precedent suggests that lower-seeded or less-established rosters in this tier experience significant probability swings based on recent scrim results and player availability. Imperial Academy's current market favouritism likely reflects either superior recent performance metrics or a more stable lineup composition relative to SINQU, though the 26% probability assigned to SINQU indicates meaningful uncertainty about the matchup outcome.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding player substitutions or roster changes through official ESEA channels and team social media in the days preceding the fixture. Fixture confirmation and any schedule adjustments will be critical, given the settlement window's 7-day grace period for delayed matches. Recent performance data from both teams' preceding ESEA matches, scrim results if publicly available, and any hardware or connectivity issues reported during practice sessions could shift the current probability before the scheduled start time.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://hltv.org. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: SINQU vs Imperial Academy (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$6 in lifetime turnover and $141 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $6 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://hltv.org. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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