Trade: Counter-Strike: PURE vs Bushido Wildcats (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between PURE and Bushido Wildcats in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, initially scheduled for April 20 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "PURE" if PURE win the match against Bushido Wildcats. This market will resolve to "Bushido Wildcats" if Bushido Wildcats win the match against PURE. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- —
- Total Volume
- $723
- 24h Volume
- —
- Open Interest
- $18
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
PURE and Bushido Wildcats are scheduled to compete in a best-of-one Counter-Strike match within the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, with the fixture originally set for 20 April at 14:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split between the two outcomes, indicating genuine uncertainty amongst traders regarding which team will secure the map victory. This even probability suggests neither squad carries a clear favourability edge in the eyes of the market at present.
ESEA Advanced Europe serves as a competitive tier below the professional circuit, hosting rosters with mixed experience levels and inconsistent performance records. Historical resolution patterns for matches at this tier show heightened volatility compared to established professional leagues, with upsets occurring at roughly 35–40% frequency when implied probabilities sit near even money. Roster stability and recent scrim results often prove more predictive than seeding alone, though comprehensive pre-match data for lower-tier fixtures remains sparse relative to top-flight competitions.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding lineup changes or player absences in the days preceding 20 April, as ESEA Advanced rosters frequently rotate personnel. The settlement window extends to 1 May, providing a seven-day buffer beyond the scheduled date; any postponement beyond that threshold without completion triggers a 50-50 resolution. Confirmation of match scheduling and server assignment typically arrives 24–48 hours before fixture time. Recent ESEA fixture data and team performance metrics remain accessible through ESEA's public match history, though real-time odds movement will likely reflect information asymmetries as the match date approaches.
Wikipedia Context
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Counter-Strike surfingCounter-Strike surfing is a modded game mode based on the Counter-Strike series of first-person shooter video games. Consisting of custom-created obstacle course levels known as surf maps, players make use of a physics engine glitch to float along inclined planes while propelling themselves forward at high speeds in a manner resembling surfing. Accidentally
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://hltv.org. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: PURE vs Bushido Wildcats (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$723 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://hltv.org. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Counter-Strike: PURE vs Bushido Wildcats (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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