Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Prestige and Vitality Academy in the United21 Group B, initially scheduled for May 11 at 6:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Prestige" if Prestige win the match against Vitality Academy. This market will resolve to "Vitality Academy" if Vitality Academy win the match against Prestige. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: PRE (-1.5) vs Vitality Academy (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Prestige and Vitality Academy are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match on 11 May at 06:30 ET as part of the United21 Group B tournament. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 45% implied probability for Prestige victory, suggesting the market views Vitality Academy as the marginal favourite. This pricing emerged from recent trading activity and represents the consensus valuation across available liquidity on the platform.
Vitality Academy operates under the Vitality organisation, one of European Counter-Strike's most established franchises, which typically confers structural advantages in player development, coaching infrastructure, and competitive experience. Prestige's historical performance against academy-tier opposition and their recent form in qualifying tournaments will be material to assessing whether the current 45% probability adequately compensates for any skill gap. Comparable matches between established academy sides and independent rosters have shown considerable variance depending on roster stability and recent bootcamp preparation.
Traders should monitor team roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup changes in the days preceding 11 May, as Counter-Strike rosters occasionally shift before tournaments. The scheduled 06:30 ET start time places the match early in the North American trading day, meaning significant probability shifts may occur once European markets open and additional liquidity enters the order book. Any postponement beyond 7 days from the scheduled date would trigger a 50-50 settlement, creating tail risk that may warrant position sizing consideration.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/united21_en. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Prestige vs Vitality Academy (BO3) - United21 Group B" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$23K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $23K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/united21_en. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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