Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Nuclear TigeRES and Walczaki in the BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 10 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nuclear TigeRES" if Nuclear TigeRES win the match against Walczaki. This market will resolve to "Walczaki" if Walczaki win the match against Nuclear TigeRES. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: NTR (-1.5) vs Walczaki (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Nuclear TigeRES and Walczaki will contest the first semifinal of the BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs in Counter-Strike, a best-of-three match scheduled for 10 May at 6:00 AM ET. The winner advances to the final. The current orderbook on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating substantial uncertainty between the two rosters ahead of the match.
Both teams operate within the competitive European Counter-Strike landscape, where roster stability and recent form typically drive outcomes. Nuclear TigeRES and Walczaki occupy similar tiers within regional competition, though historical head-to-head records and recent tournament placements would clarify which side possesses form advantage. The even probability suggests traders view this as a genuine toss-up, with neither team commanding clear superiority in the minds of those actively pricing the contract.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions in the days preceding the match, as lineup changes materially affect competitive balance. Announcement of map pools for the series, typically released 24–48 hours before play, will provide tactical information that could shift probability. The settlement window closes at 16:10 UTC on 10 May, providing a seven-day buffer for match completion; any cancellation, tie, or delay beyond that threshold triggers a 50-50 resolution. Injury reports or withdrawal announcements from either organisation would constitute the primary catalyst for significant repricing on the orderbook.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/bcgamemasters. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Nuclear TigeRES vs Walczaki (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$35K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/bcgamemasters. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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