Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket round 2 match between NEW VISION and Banger Gang in the ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 1 at 1:30PM ET. This market will resolve to "NEW VISION" if NEW VISION win the match against Banger Gang. This market will resolve to "Banger Gang" if Banger Gang win the match against NEW VISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: NEW VISION (-1.5) vs Banger Gang (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
NEW VISION and Banger Gang are scheduled to face off in the upper bracket round two of the ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs on 1 June at 1:30PM ET, competing in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match. The current orderbook on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for NEW VISION, indicating market participants are pricing this as a near-certain outcome for the higher-seeded team. This extreme probability typically emerges when one roster holds a substantial competitive advantage or when liquidity remains thin, allowing even modest trading activity to push prices to extremes.
ESEA Advanced Europe serves as a secondary competitive tier below the Pro division, and historical precedent shows that upper bracket matches at this level occasionally produce upsets, though favourites do tend to convert at elevated rates. The current pricing warrants scrutiny given that matches in developmental leagues can be influenced by roster changes, player availability, or recent form shifts that may not be fully reflected in pre-match odds. Traders should monitor for last-minute roster announcements or withdrawal notices from either team in the days leading to the match.
The settlement window closes on 2 June at 00:00 UTC, providing a one-day buffer beyond the scheduled match time. Key catalysts include confirmation of both teams' final lineups, any postponement announcements, and the actual match result. Given the extreme probability, any indication of roster instability or scheduling complications could shift the orderbook substantially.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/stanumg. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: NEW VISION vs Banger Gang (BO3) - ESEA Advanced Europe Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$7K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $7K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/stanumg. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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