Trade: Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between M80 and B8 in the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1, initially scheduled for June 3 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "M80" if M80 win the match against B8. This market will resolve to "B8" if B8 win the match against M80. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $38K
- Total Volume
- $14K
- 24h Volume
- $14K
- Open Interest
- $14K
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 41% YES | 60% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 42% YES | 58% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Map Handicap: B8 (-1.5) vs M80 (+1.5) | 33% YES | 67% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Market context
M80 and B8 are scheduled to compete in Round 3 of the IEM Cologne Major Stage 1 Counter-Strike tournament on 3 June at 1:00PM ET, playing a best-of-three match format. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 41% implied probability for M80 victory, suggesting the market views B8 as slight favourites. This pricing emerges from real-time trading activity across the platform's liquidity pools, with the probability shifting based on trader positioning and new information flow.
Contextually, M80 and B8 represent different tiers within competitive Counter-Strike's regional hierarchy. M80 operates as a North American roster, whilst B8 competes primarily within the European circuit. Historical matchups between North American and European teams at major tournaments show considerable variance depending on preparation time and recent form. The 41% probability for M80 suggests traders perceive B8 as holding a structural advantage, though the gap remains narrow enough to indicate genuine uncertainty about match outcome.
Traders should monitor roster stability and recent tournament results from both teams leading into 3 June. Any roster changes, coaching adjustments, or unexpected withdrawals announced before the match could shift the probability materially. Additionally, the broader IEM Cologne bracket structure and seeding implications may influence team preparation intensity. The settlement window closes at 23:00 UTC on 3 June, allowing for potential delays or technical issues that could trigger the 50-50 tie resolution clause if the match extends beyond seven days without completion.
Wikipedia Context
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Counter-Strike Major ChampionshipsCounter-Strike Major Championships, commonly known as the Majors, are Counter-Strike (CS) esports tournaments sponsored by Valve, the game's developer. The first Valve-recognized Major took place in 2013 in Jönköping, Sweden and was hosted by DreamHack with a total prize pool of US$250,000 split among 16 teams. This, along with the following 19 Majors, was p
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Counter-Strike match-fixing scandal
The Counter-Strike match-fixing scandal was a 2014 match fixing scandal in the North American professional scene of Counter-Strike: Global Offensive (CS:GO). It involved a match between two teams, iBUYPOWER and NetCodeGuides.com, where questionable and unsportsmanlike performance from the team iBUYPOWER, then considered the best North American team, drew su
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Counterstrike (2025 film)Counterstrike, also known as Counterattack, is a 2025 Mexican action film directed by Chava Cartas and written by Jose Ruben Escalante Mendez. Starring Luis Alberti, Noe Hernandez, Leonardo Alonso, Luis Curiel, David Leon and Guillermo Nava. It was released worldwide on Netflix on 28 February 2025.
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Counter-Strike: Malvinas
Counter-Strike: Malvinas is an unofficial multiplayer video game map for Counter-Strike: Source, developed and distributed by Argentinian web hosting company Dattatec. The map was released on March 4, 2013 and was created using the Source game engine. The map is set in Stanley, the capital of the Falkland Islands, and revolves around a group of Argentine spe
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCSb. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$14K in lifetime turnover and $38K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $14K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/ESLCSb. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 3 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Counter-Strike: M80 vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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