Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between Lavked and TNC in the CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 14 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Lavked" if Lavked win the match against TNC. This market will resolve to "TNC" if TNC win the match against Lavked. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 75% YES | 25% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 70% YES | 30% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 67% YES | 33% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: Lavked (-1.5) vs TNC (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 51% NO |
Lavked and TNC face off in Quarterfinal 3 of the CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match scheduled for 14 May at 07:00 ET. The 68% implied probability on Polymarket's order book currently favours Lavked, reflecting market participants' assessment of the matchup based on recent form and roster composition. Settlement occurs at 17:00 UTC on the scheduled date, with provisions for 50-50 resolution should the match be cancelled, delayed beyond seven days, or end in a tie.
European CCT tournaments have historically seen favourites with 65–75% implied probabilities win at rates consistent with those odds, though upsets remain common in best-of-three formats where single map performance variance can shift momentum. TNC's qualification to the quarterfinals indicates competitive standing within the regional circuit, yet Lavked's positioning at a notably higher probability suggests either superior recent results, head-to-head record, or perceived roster depth. Comparable CCT Europe playoff matches from Series 1 have generally reflected accurate market pricing when teams have clear recent form differentials.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute lineup changes in the days preceding the match, as substitutions or player availability issues have occasionally shifted CCT Europe probabilities materially. Schedule adherence matters given the seven-day cancellation clause; any postponement announcements would trigger resolution mechanics. Recent CCT Europe coverage from esports news outlets typically flags significant roster moves or coaching changes that could affect expected performance.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Lavked vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $9K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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