Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 3 match between Isurus and Fake do Biru in the CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 9 at 3:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Isurus" if Isurus win the match against Fake do Biru. This market will resolve to "Fake do Biru" if Fake do Biru win the match against Isurus. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: ISG (-1.5) vs Fake do Biru (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: FDB (-1.5) vs Isurus (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Isurus and Fake do Biru will contest a Counter-Strike quarterfinal match in the CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs, with the fixture originally scheduled for 9 May at 3:00PM ET. The match is a best-of-three format within a regional tournament that feeds into broader competitive Counter-Strike circuits. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal liquidity at the current moment or a strong consensus positioning, though such extreme probabilities often indicate thin trading rather than certainty about the underlying event.
South American Counter-Strike rosters experience notable roster volatility and inconsistent preparation timelines compared to established European or North American circuits. Historical precedent from CCT tournaments shows that regional upsets occur with measurable frequency, particularly when teams face scheduling disruptions or player availability issues. Fake do Biru's recent form and head-to-head record against Isurus should anchor baseline expectations, though limited public match data from smaller regional circuits can obscure true competitive gaps.
Traders should monitor for fixture confirmations, roster announcements, or last-minute withdrawals in the days preceding 9 May. Any delay beyond the scheduled date without completion by 16 May triggers a 50-50 settlement. Streaming availability and official CCT communications will signal whether the match proceeds as scheduled. Equipment issues, visa complications, or internet outages have historically affected South American esports fixtures, creating execution risk that current pricing may not fully capture.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Isurus vs Fake do Biru (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$146K in lifetime turnover and $1.1M of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $146K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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