Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 4 match between INOX Division and ex-Zero Tenacity in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 5 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "INOX Division" if INOX Division win the match against ex-Zero Tenacity. This market will resolve to "ex-Zero Tenacity" if ex-Zero Tenacity win the match against INOX Division. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: INOX (-1.5) vs ex-Zero Tenacity (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
INOX Division and ex-Zero Tenacity are scheduled to face off in the upper bracket quarterfinals of the CCT Europe Challengers Series on 5 May at 09:45 ET, playing a best-of-three match. The current order book on Polymarket shows 0% implied probability for INOX Division, meaning traders are pricing ex-Zero Tenacity as near-certain favourites. This extreme skew reflects either substantial confidence in ex-Zero Tenacity's superiority or minimal liquidity in the market at present.
The CCT Europe Challengers circuit serves as a secondary competitive tier for Counter-Strike teams, typically featuring rosters in transition or organisations building towards tier-one qualification. Historical context matters here: teams branded as "ex-[organisation]" often retain institutional knowledge and player cohesion from their previous structure, which can translate to competitive advantage in lower-tier tournaments. However, a 0% probability assigned to INOX Division suggests the market has identified a significant skill or preparation gap, or that ex-Zero Tenacity has recent form that overwhelmingly favours them.
Traders should monitor team roster announcements and recent match results in the days leading to 5 May, as substitutions or injury disclosures could shift the probability substantially. The settlement window closes at 19:45 ET on the scheduled date, allowing a ten-hour window for the match to conclude. Any delay beyond 7 days without a result triggers a 50-50 resolution, a tail risk worth pricing if fixture congestion or technical issues emerge. Current liquidity appears thin given the extreme probability, suggesting early traders may face slippage.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs4. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: INOX Division vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$35K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs4. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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